Jelena Ostapenko vs Rebecca Sramkova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Analyzing second serve performance in the last 6 months, Sramkova has the edge with 42.46% of points won, compared to Ostapenko's 36.71%. How does this affect predictions? Historically, it's a crucial indicator.
• In return games, Ostapenko has outperformed with 54.7% of opponent's second serve points won, while Sramkova follows with 49.93%. Is this a key advantage? Yes, especially in return-heavy matches.
• Considering breakpoints saved under pressure, Sramkova slightly leads, saving 49.6%, compared to Ostapenko's 48.7%.
• Looking at their performance over the last year, Sramkova boasts a higher match win rate at 60% versus Ostapenko's 52.38%.
• On specific surfaces, Ostapenko shines on Grass with a 69% win rate, whereas Sramkova excels on Clay with a 65% win rate.
• Reviewing player level, Ostapenko competes in more Masters series matches, having won 52.94%, while Sramkova excels in Main tour with a 66.67% win rate.
• In head-to-head matches, Ostapenko leads 2-1 and has won both deciding sets, suggesting stronger performance in crucial moments.
• Both players have an equal set win tally (4 sets each) in their encounters, indicating evenly matched competition.
• In extreme pressure tiebreaks, Sramkova leads with 3 wins over Ostapenko's 1.
• Ostapenko's competition level has been higher, facing opponents with an average rank of 61.86, while Sramkova's opponents averaged a rank of 106.17.
• In deciding set performance across all matches, Sramkova edges slightly higher at 70% success versus Ostapenko's 60%.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Sramkova holds a slight upper hand with 41.72% versus Ostapenko's 39.62%.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

Heading into their next match, both players have showcased specific strengths that could influence the outcome. Ostapenko's ability to win returning points and success in critical deciding sets might give her a tactical advantage during pivotal game moments.

Sramkova, on the other hand, has displayed superior second-serve strength and a higher match win rate over the last year. Her capacity to perform under pressure, as evidenced by her tiebreak victories, could prove decisive.

Factoring in matchup history and competitive experiences, the edge might slightly favor Ostapenko, especially if the match hinges on decisive sets or significant pressure points.

Therefore, Ostapenko is most likely to win the upcoming match based on statistical history and recent performances.